No Immediate Effect on BNP Paribas’s Ratings from Settlement
The settlement includes the payment of a USD9bn fine and a guilty plea by the parent Canada Goose Outlet bank. Under the terms of the settlement, canada goose store BNP Paribas will not be able to clear USD transactions related to the bank oil and gas commodity finance business in certain locations throughout 2015.
We Canada Goose online consider the settlement a setback for the group, but we do canada goose coats on sale not expect its franchise Canada Goose Jackets to suffer lasting damage as a result of it. After netting legal provisions of USD1.1bn, the additional USD7.9bn charge for the fine will result in a 2Q14 pre tax loss for buy canada goose jacket cheap the bank. Nevertheless, according to BNP Paribas, its fully applied Basel III common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio remained at around 10% at end June 2014, which Fitch considers to be in line with the bank ratings. BNP canada goose Paribas ability to absorb the fine highlights the benefits of the bank robust earnings generation from diversified businesses, which underpins its Viability Rating of BNP Paribas announced that the underlying net performance in 2Q14 was solid. The bank CET1 ratio also benefited from a reduction in cash dividend accruals in the quarter to EUR1.50 per share from EUR2.00.
We do not expect the guilty plea to result in licence withdrawals, based on comments made by the French banking supervisor, the Autorite de Controle Prudentiel. According to the bank, this has also been confirmed by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the New York State Department of canada goose coats Financial Services (DFS).
The bank has accepted canada goose black friday sale a canada goose uk black friday temporary suspension of clearing USD payments for oil and gas related transactions originated in certain of its French, Swiss, Italian and Singaporean Canada Goose Parka offices. In addition, the bank will prohibit all USD clearing as a correspondent bank for unaffiliated canada goose factory sale third party banks in New York and London for two Canada Goose sale years.
The timing of these restrictions should give uk canada goose outlet the bank time to put in place alternative arrangements. We expect the bank to enter into a commercial agreement with a third party US bank for the USD clearing of these Canada Goose Online transactions and believe that this should not result in a material curtailment or disruption of its operations or in a franchise loss in its trade finance business. BNP Paribas oil and gas, energy and commodities financing business generated a moderate 1% of cheap canada goose uk the bank 2013 net revenue.
BNP Paribas has a strong franchise in international trade finance, where transactions are primarily USD denominated. Nevertheless, the bank overall buy canada goose jacket USD funding requirements are moderate, and it does Canada Goose Coats On Sale not rely on short term USD wholesale funding. canada goose uk outlet The bank maintains sizeable liquidity reserves. At end March 2014, the uk canada goose bank had EUR100bn in excess stable funding, of which around half was canada goose clearance in USD, and according to the bank the amount of excess funding was largely unchanged at end June 2014.
Although we do not expect a material franchise loss, customer reactions to the guilty plea are difficult to predict. We would consider reviewing and potentially downgrading BNP Paribas ratings if it suffers a material franchise loss as a result of the settlement, canadian goose jacket which we canada coat goose uk shop currently do not expect, or if the bank is unable to maintain capitalisation in line with peers.
BNP Paribas settlement concerns pending procedures for transactions with counterparties in Cuba, Iran and the Sudan, which cheap Canada Goose violated US law. canada goose clearance sale As part of the settlement, the ACPR and the Fed issued a joint cease and desist order, under which BNP Paribas is required to strengthen its compliance with US sanction laws. The bank has worked on improving its compliance and controls and will establish an expanded compliance function in the US, where all USD flows for the canadagooseoutlet4online group will ultimately be processed and controlled in the future.
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